ASTRA QUANTCrypto prediction markets
Crypto prediction markets let you trade on questions such as “Will Bitcoin be above a certain price on a given date?” or “Will a token launch by the end of the month?”. The price of each contract shows how likely traders think the outcome is.
Updated: 1 November 2026. Educational material, not financial advice. Astra Quant is independent and not the official Polymarket site.
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What crypto markets are traded
- Price-level markets — “Bitcoin above X on date Y?”. Usually a ladder of strikes, each its own Yes/No market.
- Range and “hit” markets — “What price will Ethereum hit this week?”, with one market per level.
- Up/Down markets — very short windows (for example five minutes or an hour) asking whether the price will be higher or lower at the end than at the start.
- Event markets — token launches, ETF approvals, exchange listings, protocol upgrades.
How to read a price ladder
For a market like “Bitcoin above ___ on Friday?”, each strike is a separate contract. Strikes far below the current price trade near 100¢ (very likely), strikes far above trade near 0¢, and the strikes around the current price sit in the middle. Reading across the ladder gives you a rough picture of the distribution the market expects: where the price trades near 50¢ is roughly the market’s median for the closing price.
Each step follows the same rule as any prediction market: price in cents ≈ probability in percent. See How prediction market odds work for the details, and use the calculator to turn a price into payout and profit.
Things that matter more in crypto
- The exact resolution source. Crypto markets usually name a specific exchange, pair and time (for example a particular candle close). A price on another exchange or at another minute does not count. Always read the rules.
- Time zone and timestamp. Deadlines are often given in ET or UTC. A one-hour difference can decide a close market.
- Volatility. Crypto prices move fast, so contracts near the current price can swing from 30¢ to 70¢ within minutes.
- Near-certain contracts. A strike that is already far in the money can trade at 99¢+. Paying 99.5¢ to win 0.5¢ leaves almost no room for error.
- Liquidity across strikes. The middle strikes are usually the most liquid; the outer ones can have wide spreads.
Up/Down markets
Short Up/Down markets ask a simple question: will the price at the end of the window be higher than at the start? Prices often start near 50¢ and move as the window runs. Because the windows are short, small moves and timing matter, and the spread can be a large share of the potential profit. They are a good way to see how odds react to live price action, but they are not a shortcut to profit.
Crypto markets on Astra Quant
The crypto topic page lists current crypto markets with their leading price, 24-hour volume and liquidity. Prices are based on public Polymarket data and update automatically; Astra Quant is independent and not the official Polymarket site. Trading on Astra Quant uses ASC tokens, and new accounts receive 1000 ASCD demo tokens with no monetary value for practice.
The live example below is a current crypto market picked from the site’s own feed. Open it to see the full chart and rules, or try a trade in demo mode.
A simple routine for a crypto market
- Read the question, the source exchange and the exact deadline.
- Note the current spot price and how far the strike is from it.
- Check the Yes/No prices, the spread and liquidity.
- Decide whether your own estimate of the chance is above or below the price — and by how much.
- Size the trade so that a loss of the full stake is acceptable.
New to the format? Start with What is a prediction market and How to read a Yes/No market.
Frequently asked questions
What is a crypto prediction market?
A market where you trade Yes/No contracts on crypto outcomes, such as Bitcoin being above a price on a date. A winning contract pays $1, so the price shows the implied probability.
How do Bitcoin price-level markets work?
Each strike price is a separate Yes/No market. Strikes below the current price trade high, strikes above trade low, and the strike near 50¢ is roughly the market’s median expectation.
What source decides a crypto market?
The market rules name the source, usually a specific exchange, trading pair and time. Always check them before trading.
New accounts receive 1000 ASCD demo tokens — virtual, with no monetary value.